MRP = V1 + V2 + V3 + V4 Brent $92.50/bbl LKR 316.14/USD All live · 22 Apr 11:38 IST
ICE Brent Crude
$92.50
Live · ICE BZ=F
USD / LKR
316.14
Live · Mid-market
Last Updated
22 Apr
11:38 IST · Sri Lanka
Formula
MRP = V1 + V2 + V3 + V4
V1 Landed
MOPS + Insur × FX ÷ 158.987
V4 Tax
VAT 18% + Excise + SSCL
V2 + V3
Processing + Admin
⛽ Current MRP — All Grades 22-Mar-26 · 22 Apr
⛽ OCT 92
398 LKR
+81 (25.6%)
🔥 OCT 95
455 LKR
+90 (24.7%)
🚛 DIESEL
382 LKR
+79 (26.1%)
💎 SUPER D
443 LKR
+90 (25.5%)
🕯️ KERO
255 LKR
+60 (30.8%)
🏭 FO
194 LKR
+0 (0%)
Brent$92.50Live
LKR/USD316.14Live
MRP SourceOfficial22-Mar-26
Last Revision22-Mar-2026Hormuz crisis
⛽ Fuel Prices Official CEYPETCO MRP · Formula · Cost Breakdown
22-Mar-20266 gradesclick card → detail
▾
Cost
Total Cost
True cost per litre
=
V1
Landed
MOPS + Insur × FX ÷ 158.987
+
V2
Processing
Terminal + Transport + Storage
+
V3
Admin
Dealer + O/H + Margin
+
V4
Taxes
VAT 18% + SSCL + Excise
Lanka Petrol 92 Octane
OCT 92
398 LKR/L · MRP +81 (25.6%) ⟳
Effective: 22-03-2026 · cached
Est. cost today: Rs. 435.73
↓ Loss: Rs.(37.73)  (8.7%)
270.1 Landed
123.9 Tax
12.0 Processing
29.7 Admin
Lanka Petrol 95 Octane
OCT 95
455 LKR/L · MRP +90 (24.7%) ⟳
Effective: 22-03-2026 · cached
Est. cost today: Rs. 463.01
↓ Loss: Rs.(8.01)  (1.7%)
282.4 Landed
136.3 Tax
12.0 Processing
32.3 Admin
Lanka Auto Diesel
DIESEL
382 LKR/L · MRP +79 (26.1%) ⟳
Effective: 22-03-2026 · cached
Est. cost today: Rs. 542.60
↓ Loss: Rs.(160.60)  (29.6%)
376.6 Landed
120.9 Tax
9.9 Processing
35.3 Admin
Lanka Super Diesel Euro 4
SUPER D
443 LKR/L · MRP +90 (25.5%) ⟳
Effective: 22-03-2026 · cached
Est. cost today: Rs. 561.85
↓ Loss: Rs.(118.85)  (21.2%)
387.2 Landed
128.1 Tax
10.4 Processing
36.2 Admin
Lanka Kerosene
KERO
255 LKR/L · MRP +60 (30.8%) ⟳
Effective: 22-03-2026 · cached
Est. cost today: Rs. 333.29
↓ Loss: Rs.(78.29)  (23.5%)
256.5 Landed
48.7 Tax
10.6 Processing
17.5 Admin
Lanka Fuel Oil (Furnace)
FO
194 LKR/L · MRP +0 (0%) ⟳
Effective: 05-07-2025 · cached
Est. cost today: Rs. 310.18
↓ Loss: Rs.(116.18)  (37.5%)
234.6 Landed
48.7 Tax
7.8 Processing
19.0 Admin
⛽
Lanka Petrol 92 Octane
MRP = Rs. 398.00 / litre (eff. 22-03-2026)
ComponentLKR / litre
🌐 V1 — Landed Cost
MOPS Benchmark Price (USD/bbl)128.50
Insurance & Premiums incl. Evaporation (USD/bbl)7.34
Import Price — CIF (USD/bbl)135.84
Exchange Rate (LKR/USD)316.14
V1 Total — Landed Cost per Litre270.11
🏛️ V4 — Taxes
VAT (18%) on Landed Cost48.62
Customs Duty + SSCL Levy3.24
Excise Duty72.00
V4 Total — Taxes per Litre123.86
🏭 V2 — Processing Cost
Terminal Charges (Rs./l)6.02
Transport Costs (Rs./l)2.41
Storage Costs (Rs./l)3.60
V2 Total — Processing per Litre12.03
🏢 V3 — Administrative Cost
Dealer Margin (Rs./l)7.58
O/H & Finance Costs (Rs./l)5.42
Profit Margin (Rs./l)16.73
(-) Refinery Benefit(0.00)
V3 Total — Admin per Litre29.73
Total Estimated Cost per Litre435.73
🏷️ Official Selling Price vs Estimated Cost
Announced MRP — CEYPETCO 398.00
Profit / (Loss) per Litre  [MRP − Estimated Cost] (37.73)
🔥
Lanka Petrol 95 Octane
MRP = Rs. 455.00 / litre (eff. 22-03-2026)
ComponentLKR / litre
🌐 V1 — Landed Cost
MOPS Benchmark Price (USD/bbl)134.50
Insurance & Premiums incl. Evaporation (USD/bbl)7.50
Import Price — CIF (USD/bbl)142.00
Exchange Rate (LKR/USD)316.14
V1 Total — Landed Cost per Litre282.36
🏛️ V4 — Taxes
VAT (18%) on Landed Cost50.82
Customs Duty + SSCL Levy3.50
Excise Duty82.00
V4 Total — Taxes per Litre136.32
🏭 V2 — Processing Cost
Terminal Charges (Rs./l)6.02
Transport Costs (Rs./l)2.41
Storage Costs (Rs./l)3.60
V2 Total — Processing per Litre12.03
🏢 V3 — Administrative Cost
Dealer Margin (Rs./l)8.00
O/H & Finance Costs (Rs./l)5.80
Profit Margin (Rs./l)18.50
(-) Refinery Benefit(0.00)
V3 Total — Admin per Litre32.30
Total Estimated Cost per Litre463.01
🏷️ Official Selling Price vs Estimated Cost
Announced MRP — CEYPETCO 455.00
Profit / (Loss) per Litre  [MRP − Estimated Cost] (8.01)
🚛
Lanka Auto Diesel
MRP = Rs. 382.00 / litre (eff. 22-03-2026)
ComponentLKR / litre
🌐 V1 — Landed Cost
MOPS Benchmark Price (USD/bbl)182.39
Insurance & Premiums incl. Evaporation (USD/bbl)7.00
Import Price — CIF (USD/bbl)189.39
Exchange Rate (LKR/USD)316.14
V1 Total — Landed Cost per Litre376.60
🏛️ V4 — Taxes
VAT (18%) on Landed Cost67.79
Customs Duty + SSCL Levy3.09
Excise Duty50.00
V4 Total — Taxes per Litre120.88
🏭 V2 — Processing Cost
Terminal Charges (Rs./l)4.11
Transport Costs (Rs./l)2.41
Storage Costs (Rs./l)3.34
V2 Total — Processing per Litre9.86
🏢 V3 — Administrative Cost
Dealer Margin (Rs./l)7.74
O/H & Finance Costs (Rs./l)7.53
Profit Margin (Rs./l)19.99
(-) Refinery Benefit(0.00)
V3 Total — Admin per Litre35.26
Total Estimated Cost per Litre542.60
🏷️ Official Selling Price vs Estimated Cost
Announced MRP — CEYPETCO 382.00
Profit / (Loss) per Litre  [MRP − Estimated Cost] (160.60)
💎
Lanka Super Diesel Euro 4
MRP = Rs. 443.00 / litre (eff. 22-03-2026)
ComponentLKR / litre
🌐 V1 — Landed Cost
MOPS Benchmark Price (USD/bbl)187.50
Insurance & Premiums incl. Evaporation (USD/bbl)7.20
Import Price — CIF (USD/bbl)194.70
Exchange Rate (LKR/USD)316.14
V1 Total — Landed Cost per Litre387.15
🏛️ V4 — Taxes
VAT (18%) on Landed Cost69.69
Customs Duty + SSCL Levy3.40
Excise Duty55.00
V4 Total — Taxes per Litre128.09
🏭 V2 — Processing Cost
Terminal Charges (Rs./l)4.50
Transport Costs (Rs./l)2.41
Storage Costs (Rs./l)3.50
V2 Total — Processing per Litre10.41
🏢 V3 — Administrative Cost
Dealer Margin (Rs./l)8.20
O/H & Finance Costs (Rs./l)8.00
Profit Margin (Rs./l)20.00
(-) Refinery Benefit(0.00)
V3 Total — Admin per Litre36.20
Total Estimated Cost per Litre561.85
🏷️ Official Selling Price vs Estimated Cost
Announced MRP — CEYPETCO 443.00
Profit / (Loss) per Litre  [MRP − Estimated Cost] (118.85)
🕯️
Lanka Kerosene
MRP = Rs. 255.00 / litre (eff. 22-03-2026)
ComponentLKR / litre
🌐 V1 — Landed Cost
MOPS Benchmark Price (USD/bbl)122.50
Insurance & Premiums incl. Evaporation (USD/bbl)6.50
Import Price — CIF (USD/bbl)129.00
Exchange Rate (LKR/USD)316.14
V1 Total — Landed Cost per Litre256.51
🏛️ V4 — Taxes
VAT (18%) on Landed Cost46.17
Customs Duty + SSCL Levy0.50
Excise Duty2.00
V4 Total — Taxes per Litre48.67
🏭 V2 — Processing Cost
Terminal Charges (Rs./l)5.00
Transport Costs (Rs./l)2.41
Storage Costs (Rs./l)3.20
V2 Total — Processing per Litre10.61
🏢 V3 — Administrative Cost
Dealer Margin (Rs./l)5.00
O/H & Finance Costs (Rs./l)4.50
Profit Margin (Rs./l)8.00
(-) Refinery Benefit(0.00)
V3 Total — Admin per Litre17.50
Total Estimated Cost per Litre333.29
🏷️ Official Selling Price vs Estimated Cost
Announced MRP — CEYPETCO 255.00
Profit / (Loss) per Litre  [MRP − Estimated Cost] (78.29)
🏭
Lanka Fuel Oil (Furnace)
MRP = Rs. 194.00 / litre (eff. 05-07-2025)
ComponentLKR / litre
🌐 V1 — Landed Cost
MOPS Benchmark Price (USD/bbl)112.50
Insurance & Premiums incl. Evaporation (USD/bbl)5.50
Import Price — CIF (USD/bbl)118.00
Exchange Rate (LKR/USD)316.14
V1 Total — Landed Cost per Litre234.64
🏛️ V4 — Taxes
VAT (18%) on Landed Cost42.24
Customs Duty + SSCL Levy1.50
Excise Duty5.00
V4 Total — Taxes per Litre48.74
🏭 V2 — Processing Cost
Terminal Charges (Rs./l)3.50
Transport Costs (Rs./l)1.80
Storage Costs (Rs./l)2.50
V2 Total — Processing per Litre7.80
🏢 V3 — Administrative Cost
Dealer Margin (Rs./l)4.00
O/H & Finance Costs (Rs./l)5.00
Profit Margin (Rs./l)10.00
(-) Refinery Benefit(0.00)
V3 Total — Admin per Litre19.00
Total Estimated Cost per Litre310.18
🏷️ Official Selling Price vs Estimated Cost
Announced MRP — CEYPETCO 194.00
Profit / (Loss) per Litre  [MRP − Estimated Cost] (116.18)
📅 Price History CEYPETCO revisions 2022–present
5 gradesall revisions
▾
Fuel Price History
LKR / litre · CEYPETCO official price revisions · 2022 – 2026
📋 P&L Analysis MRP vs estimated cost · live Brent adjusted
live
▾
Profit / (Loss) Summary
Official MRP vs live estimated cost · LKR/litre
Live
GradeMRPEst. CostP/(L)%
Lanka Petrol 92 Octane 398 436 (38) (8.7%)
Lanka Petrol 95 Octane 455 463 (8) (1.7%)
Lanka Auto Diesel 382 543 (161) (29.6%)
Lanka Super Diesel Euro 4 443 562 (119) (21.2%)
Lanka Kerosene 255 333 (78) (23.5%)
Lanka Fuel Oil (Furnace) 194 310 (116) (37.5%)

Brent $92.50/bbl · LKR 316.14/USD · Loss shown in brackets.

MRP vs Estimated Cost Today
All grades · LKR / litre
OCT 92
436
398
OCT 95
463
455
DIESEL
543
382
SUPER D
562
443
KERO
333
255
FO
310
194
 Bar=Cost · Line=MRP
■MRP < Cost = Loss
■MRP > Cost = Profit
🌐 Market Intelligence Global signals · Futures curve · Weekly impact
⚡ Hormuz Active7 signalsclick → expand
▾
🚢
Strait of Hormuz Crisis
95% tanker drop
↑ PRICE PRESSURE
Kpler / IEA, Mar-2026
US-Israel strikes on Iran (28 Feb). Only 138 tanker crossings Mar 1–23 vs ~2,900/month normal. Insurance cancellation = effective closure. 10mb/d Gulf production shut in.
📉
EIA STEO: Brent Forecast
$95→$70 by Q4-26
↓ FALLING MEDIUM-TERM
EIA STEO, 10-Mar-2026
EIA: Brent stays above $95/b for 2 months, then falls below $80 in Q3 and ~$70 by year-end. Assumes Hormuz gradually reopens. Supply glut 1.87mb/d for 2026.
🛢️
OPEC+ Meeting (5 Apr)
+206k b/d planned
⚠ UNCERTAIN
OPEC / Kpler, Mar-2026
OPEC+ pledged +206k b/d increase April but Gulf spare capacity cannot reach markets while Hormuz is blocked. Saudi exporting via Yanbu (Red Sea). Next meeting 5 April.
🏦
IEA Emergency Stock Release
400mb released
↓ SLIGHT CUSHION
IEA, 11-Mar-2026
IEA member countries unanimously agreed 11 March to release 400mb of strategic reserves. Provides buffer but is a stop-gap. Global stocks were 8,210mb in January.
🏛️
J.P. Morgan Outlook
$60/bbl avg 2026
↓ BEARISH LONG-TERM
J.P. Morgan Research
J.P. Morgan: $60/bbl average for full-year 2026 on soft fundamentals. Geopolitical spikes "brief" and will subside. Supply from US shale, Brazil, Guyana outpaces demand.
💱
LKR/USD Exchange Rate
LKR 316.14 / USD
→ STABLE
CBSL / Open Exchange Rates
LKR/USD stable in 309–312 range over past 90 days. Sri Lanka's IMF programme providing FX discipline. CBSL not expected to make major adjustments near-term.
🇱🇰
Sri Lanka Gulf Exposure
84% from Gulf/MOPS
⚠ HIGH EXPOSURE
CEYPETCO / IEA 2024
84% of Sri Lanka crude imports from Gulf states (Saudi, UAE, Kuwait). All routed through Hormuz or MOPS Singapore spot market. Every $10/bbl Brent rise = ~Rs.19/L landed cost increase.
Brent Forward Curve — Market Price Expectation
ICE Brent futures Apr–Sep 2026 · shows where market expects oil to trade
↓ Backwardation — market expects prices to FALL ● Live futures
$93
Spot
$105
Apr-26
$98
May-26
$98
Jun-26
$93
Jul-26
$89
Aug-26
$86
Sep-26
Weekly
Impact
Wk1
+12.0%
Wk2
+10.0%
Wk3
+7.5%
Wk4
+2.0%
Wk5
-1.5%
Wk6
-6.0%
Wk7
-7.5%
Wk8
-10.0%
🛢️ Brent Crude History 2020–2026 · Geopolitical events · EIA + JPM forecast
92.50/bbl liveEIA STEO annotated
▾
Brent Crude — 2020 to Present + EIA Forecast
USD / barrel · Monthly avg · Key geopolitical events marked · EIA STEO & J.P.Morgan scenarios
$92.50
● Live  ·  ICE BZ=F  ·  22 Apr 2026 11:38 IST
Live Brent
$92.50
ICE futures
vs Pre-Hormuz
+$25.10
37.2% since 28 Feb
2022 Ukraine Peak
$122.71
Jun 2022
COVID Low
$26.55
Apr 2020
EIA Q4 2026
~$70
EIA STEO forecast
Brent spot (monthly avg)
Today (live)
EIA STEO forecast
J.P. Morgan scenario ($60 avg)
⚡ = geopolitical event marker
🔮 Weekly Forecast 8-week prediction · signal-adjusted · trend cards
regression + Brent8 weeks
▾
Weekly Price Forecast — Next 8 Weeks
Weekly weighted regression · Brent $92.50/bbl adjusted · ±4–10% confidence band
⚠ Statistical forecast — not an official CEYPETCO price
Scenario Analysis — Petrol 92 & Auto Diesel
Base · Bullish Brent $140 · Bearish Brent $75 · near-term scenarios
Grade Current MRP Bear (Brent $75) Base (Brent $93) Bull (Brent $140) Driver